Markets kicked off 2025 with a pullback, giving back gains from the post-election rally. In our latest Q4 commentary, we examine what’s driving this shift in sentiment—and what we’re watching going forward.

A stronger-than-expected jobs report has delayed expectations for interest rate cuts, with the forward yield curve now pricing in just one cut for the year. Political uncertainty surrounding the upcoming presidential administration is also creating hesitation, as investors await clarity on future policy direction.

We’ve also shared Venture’s full Q4 and 2024 market summary, which highlights:

• Large-cap growth stocks gained +33.36% in 2024, significantly outperforming large-cap value (+14.37%)
• International and small-cap stocks lagged due to a strong U.S. dollar and higher interest rates at home

While some investors react cautiously to strong economic data, we believe a solid growth backdrop—even with moderate inflation—supports long-term earnings potential.

We continue to monitor inflation reports and real-time indicators like jobless claims to guide our outlook.

Read the Q4 Quarterly Market Review
Read the 2024 Annual Market Review

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